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Tibono
Hello,
I had CARA (v2.5.10) analyze the 50 games, using SF18 set to 10 secs/move.
The outcomes are rather compliant to Kurt's conclusions.
Should you be interested in the list of brilliant moves that CARA reported, here they are, with some additional comments:
[CODE]brilliancies:
game 5 MM V white 25.Qxf5 - best move, yet 25.Qg5+ looked better 25...Kh8 26.Qf6+ Kg8 27.Bxc4
game 8 MIII white 17.Nxf6+ - best move, yet 17.Nf3 looked better 17...Nxd5 18.Rxd5
game 10 MIII white 31.Ba5 - best move, yet 31.Ng4 looked better 31...dxe4 32.Nxe5 Kf8 33.Nxc6 Rxc6 34.Bxb
Analysis by Stockfish 18: (Tiefe 65/73)
1. = (0.00) (50% +0% =100% -0%): 25.Dg5 Kh8 26.Df6 Kg8 27.Dxf5 Dc7 28.Dg5 Kh8 29.Dh6 Kg8 30.Le4 Txe4 31.Dg5 Kh8 32.Df6 Kg8 33.Dg5
2. = (0.00) (50% +0% =100% -0%): 25.Dxf5 Dc7 26.Dg5 Kh8 27.Dh6 Kg8
Die Stellung ist ausgeglichen
game 8 MIII
(Kurt: why MIII??) white 17.Nxf6+ - best move, yet 17.Nf3 looked better 17...Nxd5 18.Rxd5[/quote]
Analysis by Stockfish 18: (Tiefe 33/58)
1. +- (5.21) (100% +100% =0% -0%): 17.Sxf6 Kf7 18.Sh5 Te8 19.Sf3 Lf6 20.Dc2 Kg8 21.Dxf5 De7 22.Te1 Df7 23.Txe8 Dxe8 24.Sxf6 Sxf6 25.Dxc5 Ta8 26.Le5 Tc8 27.Da3 Sd5 28.Td1 De6 29.Db3 Tc4 30.Dd3 h6 31.h4 Sf4 32.Lxf4 Txf4 33.Te1 Dc6 34.Se5 Db6 35.Dd5 Kh7
2. +- (3.81) (100% +100% =0% -0%): 17.Sf3 Se4 18.a4 b4 19.Sd2 0-0 20.Sxe7 Dxe7 21.f3 h6 22.fxe4 fxe4 23.Lg3 Sf6 24.Sc4 Te8 25.Sd6 Tf8 26.Dc4 Kh8 27.Sf5 Df7 28.Dxc5 Td7 29.Se3 Td3 30.Txd3 exd3 31.Dd4 Dd7 32.Dxd7 Sxd7 33.Tc1
17.Sxf6 Weiss steht klar auf Gewinn
I am rather happy with the ELO estimates based on 50 games, they are pretty spot on.
MfG,
Eric[/QUOTE]
Hi Eric
Based on my initial game analysis with CARA, I get the impression that an analysis time of 10 seconds per move is not sufficient to achieve satisfactory results. This may be due to the fact that I have not yet used all the finer parameters for the settings in CARA. However, I then took the example given for two positions and compared it with Stockfish 18 at higher search depths. And here, at least, the conclusions drawn are not convincing because the difference in evaluation are very small and may be neglected. I will continue my research.
Game 10 is another example:
92317: Excel Mach III - Mephisto MM V HG 550 ½-½ 10, Match 08__120'/40 2016
6k1/4bpp1/1rb2n1p/1pnpp3/1B2P3/NPP2P1P/4B1PN/3R2K1 w - - 0 1
Analysis by Stockfish 18: (Depth 53)
1. = (-0.10) (50% +0% =100% -0%):
31.La5 Tb7 32.Sg4 dxe4 33.Sxe5 exf3 34.Lxf3 Lxf3 35.Sxf3 Sfe4 36.Lb4 Sxc3 37.Lxc3 b4 38.Lb2 bxa3 39.Lxa3 Txb3 40.Lxc5 Lxc5 41.Kf1 g6 42.Se5 Le7 43.Td3 Tb1 44.Ke2 Tb5 45.Sf3 Ta5 46.g3 h5 47.Kf1 Kf8 48.Kg2 Lb4 49.Td4 Ta2 50.Kh1 Lc5 51.Td7 Ke8 52.Td2 Ta3 53.Kg2 f6 54.g4 hxg4 55.hxg4 Le3 56.Te2 Kf7 57.Sd2 Td3
2.
= (-0.18) (50% +0% =100% -1%):
31.Sg4 Sxg4 32.hxg4 dxe4 33.Kf1 exf3 34.Lxf3 e4 35.Le2 Tb7 36.Lxc5 Lxc5 37.Td8 Lf8 38.c4 g6 39.cxb5 Ld7 40.Sb1 Lxb5 41.Lxb5 Txb5 42.Sc3 Txb3 43.Sxe4 Tb4 44.Sf6 Kg7 45.Se8 Kh8 46.Tc8 Txg4 47.Kg1 h5 48.Sf6 Td4 49.Sxh5 Kg8 50.Sg3 Kg7 51.Kf2 Le7 52.Sf1 Lf6 53.Se3 Tf4 54.Kg3 Ta4 55.Tc4 Ta3 56.Kf2 Le5 57.Tb4
Die Stellung ist ausgeglichen.
Kind regards
Kurt