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Alt 04.02.2023, 10:45
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AW: Khmelnitsky test: Mephisto IIIS Glasgow

So far we "only" leveraged the Khmelnitsky test data, in a rather straightforward way. Let's now explore a more hazardous area: try to standardize the data, introducing the knowledge we have thanks to the Wiki-Elo-List.
As the KT results do comply with the rule of thumb (constant Elo gain per doubling), to my understanding we only need a shift in the KT score to better align with the Wiki-Elo-List (meaning: add a constant value).
Do you remember the polynomial formula displayed above? We juste need to substitute a better value to the final constant (and keep the x² and x part of the formula unchanged).
So far, the scope of the test only includes two devices for which the Wiki-Elo-List provides values: the fast MephiIIIS and the Ph.Revelation. But we have a third device with a known Elo within the list: the Ph.Revelation II. Let's use it as well, as the polynomial formula can provide an estimate for its KT Elo:

Code:
                                SMhz	   Constant-free          Wiki Elo       Delta       Standardized KT Elo
IIIS Glasgow                    7.2              0.0                                                 1701
IIIS Glasgow 12Mhz              12              53.2                1707        1653.8               1754
Phoenix Revelation              38             165.6                1900        1734.4               1866
Phoenix Revelation II           109            259.0                1973        1714.0               1960
Phoenix Revelation II AE        196            307.2                                                 2008
Phoenix Reflexion 1,5Ghz        244            324.4                                                 2025
Phoenix Reflexion 1,7Ghz        272            332.8                                                 2034
Mephisto Phoenix                480            375.3                                                 2076
                                                               average delta:   1700.7
The "constant-free" formula is -21.3015036253151*LOG10(SMhz/7.2)^2+244.626198127018*LOG10(SMhz/7.2)
(see above formula within the graph)
The delta is the Wiki-Elo minus the constant-free value; from which an average value is calculated.
The standardized KT Elo is of course the same polynomial pattern with the average delta as a new constant: -21.3015036253151*LOG10(SMhz/7.2)^2+244.626198127018*LOG10(SMhz/7.2)+1700.7

This provides this new graph with "better" Elo values (better meaning standardized according to the Wiki-Elo-List data available so far):



'x' is still a bit of a complicated value (log of the speed ratio), so let's expand the x axis to the SMhz (speed in Mhz) value, and add a logarithmic regression curve to get a less cumbersome formula:



New formula displayed: 89.7821030247115*LN(SMhz)+1531.25499276664
or, should you prefer the log function: 206.730932042356*LOG10(SMhz)+1531,25499276664

Resulting tab, using either of the above:
Code:
IIIS Glasgow                1708
IIIS Glasgow 12Mhz          1754
Phoenix Revelation          1858
Phoenix Revelation II       1952
Phoenix Revelation II AE    2005
Phoenix Reflexion 1,5Ghz    2025
Phoenix Reflexion 1,7Ghz    2035
Mephisto Phoenix            2086
Angehängte Grafiken
Dateityp: jpg Std_KT.jpg (21,0 KB, 315x aufgerufen)
Dateityp: jpg Std_KT2.jpg (20,0 KB, 319x aufgerufen)
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Folgende 5 Benutzer sagen Danke zu Tibono für den nützlichen Beitrag:
Chessguru (04.02.2023), Egbert (04.02.2023), Roberto (24.07.2023), Thomas J (04.02.2023), udo (14.02.2023)